Work in Progress

18. Targeting Rural Poverty through Guaranteed Basic Income: Initial Results from an Experiment in South Carolina (with Patrick Warren and L. Reed Watson).

• First version coming soon

Working Papers

17. Guaranteed Employment in Rural India: Intra-Household Labor and Resource Allocation Consequences (solo-authored). 2025. American Economic Journal: Economic Policy. Resubmitted.

• Current version
• Appendix
  

Publications

16. Reexamining a Multisite Early Childhood Education Program: Gradual Scale-Up, Birth Spacing, and Parental Investment (with William Dougan and Illia Polovnikov). 2025. Journal of Political Economy Microeconomics. Accepted.

• Accepted version
• Appendix
• Older working-paper version
  

15. Early Education’s Long-Term Benefits (solo-authored). 2024. Science. 385:6715. p. 1285.

• Letter (not peer-reviewed)
• Published version
  

14. Pricing Children, Curbing Daughters: Fertility and the Sex-Ratio During China's One-Child Policy (solo-authored). 2024. Journal of Human Resources. 59:5. pp. 1319-1352.

• Lead article
• Published version
• Appendix
  

13. Childcare and Parenting in the Production of Early Life Skills (with Sebastián Gallegos). 2024. Economics of Education Review. 101 (Article No. 102557). pp. 1-12.

• Published version
  

12. The Dynastic Benefits of Early Childhood Education: Participant Benefits and Family Spillovers (with Frederik H. Bennhoff and Duncan Ermini Leaf). 2024. Journal of Human Capital. 18:1. pp. 44-73.

• Published version
• Appendix
  

11. The Lasting Effects of Early Childhood Education on Promoting the Skills and Social Mobility of Disadvantaged African Americans and their Children (with James J. Heckman and Victor Ronda). 2023. Journal of Political Economy. 131:6. pp. 1477-1506.

• Published version
• Appendix
• NBER non-technical summary
  

10. Parenting Promotes Social Mobility Within and Across Generations (with James J. Heckman). 2023. Annual Review of Economics. 15:1. pp. 349-388.

• Published version
• Appendix
  

9. Three Criteria for Evaluating Social Programs (with James J. Heckman). 2022. Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis. 13:3. pp. 281-286.

• Published version
• Previous version (extended discussion)
  

8. Early Childhood Education and Life-cycle Health (with James J. Heckman). 2020. Health Economics. 30:S1. pp. 119-141.

• Published version
  

7. Quantifying the Life-cycle Benefits of an Influential Early Childhood Program (with James J. Heckman, Duncan Ermini Leaf, María José Prados). 2020. Journal of Political Economy. 128:7. pp. 2502-2541.

• Published version
• Appendix
• Microeconomic Insights non-technical summary
  

6. Early Childhood Education and Crime (with James J. Heckman and Anna L. Ziff). 2019. Infant Mental Health Journal. 40:1. pp. 141-151.

• Published version
  

5. Gender Differences in the Benefits of an Influential Early Childhood Program (with James J. Heckman and Anna L. Ziff). 2018. European Economic Review. 109. pp. 9-22.

• Published version
• Appendix
  

4. Social Policy: Targeting Programmes Effectively (with James J. Heckman). 2017. Nature Human Behavior. 1:1. pp. 1-2.

• Invited article (not peer-reviewed)
• Published version
  

3. Early Childhood Education (with Sneha Elango, James J. Heckman, and Andrés Hojman). 2016. Economics of Means-Tested Transfer Programs in the United States, Volume II. The University of Chicago Press, edited by Robert Moffitt. pp. 235-297.

• Invited book chapter
• Published version
• VOX, CEPR policy portal non-technical summary
  

2. The Price of Fringe Benefits when Formal and Informal Labor Markets Coexist (with David Argente). 2015. IZA Journal of Labor Economics. 4:1. pp. 1-12.

• Published version
  

1. Why Do Formal Credit, Informal Credit, and both Types of Credits Coexist as Consumer Choices? (with Víctor Carreón and Sonia Di Giannatale). 2015. Economics Bulletin. 35:1. pp. 89-96.

• Published version